Near Vilnius, a secret conference of Putin regime opponents from Russia and Europe took place. It was organized by Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis. Politicians, businessmen, human rights activists and journalists (70 participants whose names and positions are classified) have discussed different scenarios in which Vladimir Putin could be stripped of power because of his decision to wage war against Ukraine.
“Putin brought Putinism to Russia just as Hitler made fascism socially acceptable in Germany. That is why, Putin’s Reich today should be treated just as the German Reich during the 1939-1945 war. The Germans were oppressed by Hitler, just as the Russians are oppressed by Putin, but both nations made it easier for their despots,” a participant from St. Petersburg told the Bild.
According to the conference participants, there are three scenarios in Russia, and they all involve “de-putinization”.
✔ “Ukrainian scenario”. Mistakes in governing the country will lead to the end of the current regime, followed by democratic elections, after which Russia will follow Ukraine in its development.
✔ “Coup”. Putin will be overthrown by his own generals or special services and a paramilitary regime will be established in the country.
✔ “Uprising from below”. If the country’s population rebels against the regime that is based on fear, despair and poverty, unrest will break out in the country and russia will split into numerous republics.
“The first scenario is unrealistic. How democratic elections can happen in a country that lacks necessary institutions to implement this? Thus, the comparison with Ukraine does not stand up to any criticism. As President Kuchma once famously said: “Ukraine is not russia.”
The second scenario is the most realistic. However, only at the level of colonels as generals in Russia are the primary beneficiaries of the Putin regime, although there is a good example of Ceausescu and his general Stanculescu. The military junta will drag Russia into a full-scale war, with total mobilization and martial law.
The third option is inevitable, but the question is about the timeframe when it can happen. Whoever seriously intends to stay in power in Russia after Putin For a long time should gain broad support of the population. We have seen velvet revolutions even in Serbia, when there was a regime of war criminal Milosevic. Yet, in Russia it can hardly happen immediately, only in case of a political crisis and weakening of the central government. Unfortunately, the chances of bloodshed are much higher than the peaceful transfer of power under the pressure of people’s actions,” says the Nationalverräter, an analytical Telegram channel “for free people about problems of Russia and the world.”